Growing nexus among energy, water, and food demand for resources will increase owing to an increase in global population from 7. Richer, older and more urban human race with an expanding global middle class and greater inequalities global trend 2. Global trends 2030s six potential gamechangers the vast changes resulting from the megatrends and tectonic shifts alone ensure a transformed world by 2030. Global marine technology trends 2030, released on monday, is the culmination of a collaborative project between lloyds register, qinetiq and the university of southampton. A transformative industrial and technological revolution global trend 4. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. Previous editions of global trends have also identified megatrends, and if there is one part of gt2030 that is the most mature and welldeveloped, it is this megatrends aspect of the.
Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Changing power, interdependence and fragile multilateralism source. Megatrends are global changes in individual, social and technological structures that shape our lives. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. How well live with technology in 2030 will be determined by four key technology trends. Before launching work on the current volume, the nic commissioned an academic study of the four previous global trends studies, going to back to the first edition in 199697.
A transformative industrial and technological revolution. A growing nexus of climate change, energy and competition for resources global trend 5. Past global trends works, correctly foresaw the direction of the vectors. Global demand economic growth in non oecd will drive further increases in global energy consumption. But chinas power has consistently increased faster than expected. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. Paradox of progress global trends and key implications through 2035 the rich are aging, the poor are not.
A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Workingage populations are shrinking in wealthy countries, china, and russia but growing in developing, poorer countries, particularly in africa and south asia, increasing economic, employment. Burrows, counselor, us national intelligence council. As consumers step further into this sensory digital world, they will require. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. Technology and business in 2030 smarter with gartner. Megatrends affecting science, technology and innovation.
Workingage populations are shrinking in wealthy countries, china, and russia but growing in developing, poorer countries, particularly in africa. Publications european union institute for security studies. Ambient computing, smarter devices, cybersecurity and ethics, and information and analytics. A more vulnerable process of globalisation, shift to asia global trend 3. Jan 07, 20 nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. See cia global trends 2030 for what the worlds true leaders want versus the fuji declaration related to ervin laszlos networks, which is about a positive future. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. How these six gamechangers evolve and interact with each other and with the megatrends and tectonic shifts will determine what kind of transformed world we will experience in 2030. A comprehensive reading of the four reports leaves a strong impression that we tend toward underestimation of the rates of change. The economic and technological revolution the european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the european commission, the council of the european union, and the european external action. Citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world summary theme major trends ancillary trends empowerment of individuals.
The color print, charts, and pullouts as well as the easytoread summary and overview. Global trends 2030 individual empowerment and the role of disruptive technologies mr m burrows, director, strategic, foresight initiative cstd 202014 intersessional panel created date 121620 11. Global megatrends shaping our future megatrends by hp. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. The goal of the report is to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today. Trends and strategie s for europe vii next 5 to 10 years, a large domestic savings and investment imbalance is likely to follow.
All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance. In his session at gartner symposiumitxpo in barcelona, steve prentice, vice president and gartner fellow, helped the audience reimagine the business landscape. Global trends 2030 is not the stuffy tome that one usually expects from a government agency. They will be drawn to cities in massive numbers for the promise of a better life. This study considers eight economic, societal, and political global trends that will shape. New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing. Dec 07, 2014 global trends 2030 is not the stuffy tome that one usually expects from a government agency. All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance not coped with in the relevant publication. Publications as part of its mission to find a common security culture for the eu, to help develop and project the cfsp, and to enrich europes strategic debate, the institute regularly releases publications on the topics and regions at the core of the unions work. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about. However, no one could argue that the flattening of the world truly skyrocketed when the internet was born. Global trends 2030 reports us, eu, russia, and nato. Leadership in a postwestern world live stream watch leaders in a twoday conference examine the future direction of the world december 11, 2012. A global human community but a growing expectations gap empowerment of individuals global rise of the middle class.
At the heart of global trends 2030 are four megatrends that it identifies as the most significant trends that will affect the world looking out over a decadeandahalf into the future. Asia rises, the west declines the planet may also be racked by wars over food and water. International reactions to muslim women who learn to read will read. How and where we design, sell and manufacture products will become both hyperglobal and hyperlocal thanks to us now living in a globally connected world with a diverse set of. Previous editions of global trends have also identified megatrends, and if there is one part of gt2030 that is the most mature and welldeveloped. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Asia will account for around 60% of the total increase6. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. As with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential. Nearly half of world population will live in areas with severe water stress. The futureworld order will be shaped by human agency asmuch as unfolding trends and unanticipated events. Ce n f the di eo re ic te l in llige na of nat or io ct of f dear reader. Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities.
The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. The 10 hot consumer trends for 2030 report covers how the internet of senses can. Five key global trends to 2030 15 key global trend 1 17 a richer and older human race characterised by an expanding global middle class and greater inequalities key global trend 2 23 a more vulnerable process of globalisation led by an economic g3 key global trend 3 33 a transformative industrial and technological revolution. A dialogue about the future with nongovernmental experts. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues focus on a series of plausible. The color print, charts, and pullouts as well as the easytoread summary and overview make this book readily accessible for any investor. Global marine technology trends 2030 by lloyds register.
Euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030. Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 17 each driver represents a shift in demographics, society, technology, or the economy that impacts the future. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future as with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. The european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the european commission, the council of the european union, and the european external action service, with the committee of the regions and the european economic and social committee as observers, to work. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by.
By 2030, the global talent shortage could reach 85. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Global trends 2030 individual empowerment and the role of disruptive technologies mr m burrows, director, strategic, foresight initiative cstd 202014. Download the report pdf download infographic pdf jpeg view the video. With bigger cities come major economic growth, particularly in emerging markets. A snapshot of the global trends 2030 report posted by globaltrends2030.
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